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Pythagorean expectation, American pro football game

ÀÛ¼ºÀÚ Uploader : ezmath ÀÛ¼ºÀÏ Upload Date: 2016-05-30º¯°æÀÏ Update Date: 2016-05-30Á¶È¸¼ö View : 579

Pythagorean expectation is a formula invented by Bill James to estimate how many games a baseball team "should" have won based on the number of runs they scored and allowed. Comparing a team's actual and Pythagorean winning percentage can be used to evaluate how lucky that team was (by examining the variation between the two winning percentages). The name comes from the formula's resemblance to the Pythagorean theorem.

The basic formula is:

W = S^2 / (S^2 + A^2)
W : Winning ratio
S : Runs scored
A : Runs allowed

The formula has also been used in pro football by football stat website and publisher Football Outsiders, where it is known as Pythagorean projection. The formula is used with an exponent of 2.37 and gives a projected winning percentage.  

W = S^2.37 / (S^2.37 + A^2.37)


*** Âü°í¹®Çå[References] ***

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pythagorean_expectation
W = S^2.37 / (S^2.37 + A^2.37)
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